Pre-Assay Geological Intelligence

Cauldra

Pre-Assay Geological Intelligence for Cu-Au Porphyry Systems.

Cu-Au Porphyry Machine Learning Pre-Assay Analytics

Cauldra turns standard core logging data into a quantitative read on grade — predicting high-grade intervals and ranking the geological controls behind them, without waiting for assays.

The Problem

The decisions come before the assays do.

Step-outs, hole extensions, target ranking, lab queue priority — the calls that shape a program happen while the rig is turning and the lab is weeks behind. Cauldra extracts a grade prediction signal from standard core logging data — quantified, ranked, and ready. No assays required.

Method

Two products. One input: your logging data.

Product 01

Pre-assay triage

When Cauldra deprioritises an interval, it is correct more than nine times in ten — validated on held-out test holes across three independent porphyry deposits.

A ranked list of intervals by likelihood of hosting high-grade copper, with confidence tiers and geological reasoning. Project geologists adjust hole plans and prioritise step-outs as logging progresses.

Product 02

Geological signal

Independently recovers the geological controls operators document — validated across three independent porphyry systems.

Cauldra identifies which lithologies, alteration assemblages, and sulphide associations matter — produced from logging alone, without access to the operator's interpretation.

Deliverables per engagement
Interactive dashboard
Ranked intervals, confidence tiers, the geological reasoning behind every call, and a 3D drillhole view of the program.
Drillhole CSVs with predictions
Predictions and confidence tiers as standard columns — imports directly into Leapfrog the same way you import every other dataset.
Sample Output

Every hole, every interval, scored.

The model's predicted probability that each logged interval exceeds the deposit's high-grade copper threshold, displayed across the full program. No assay results seen by the model — predictions made from logging alone. Hover any interval for depth, probability, lithology, and alteration.

Source: Publicly disclosed BC ARIS assessment report data. Hole identifiers anonymised for public display.

LOADING INTERACTIVE CHART
Sample full-program view from Cauldra dashboard — every logged interval scored by predicted probability of high-grade copper, with tier-based colour coding from ULTRA (magenta) through HIGH (red), MEDIUM (orange), LOW (blue), to BACKGROUND (grey).

Sample from validation case study · Trained on prior-year logging, predicted current-year program blind · Full-program view from the Cauldra dashboard

Results

Validation on public datasets.

Cauldra has been trained and validated across three independent BC porphyry systems — different terranes, different operators, multiple drill seasons. 225 drillholes carried into analysis across 130,000+ metres of logged core, spanning eight drill programs. The case study below uses publicly disclosed BC ARIS drill data from a Cu-Au porphyry project across three consecutive programs. Cauldra was trained on the prior-year logging records and run on the latest program blind. The model's outputs match the geological controls documented in the operator's published assessment reports — produced from logging alone, without access to the operator's interpretation.

The model recovers the porphyry zoning framework from logging alone — productive intrusive hosts, barren post-mineral dykes, sulphide paragenesis, and alteration zoning.

  1. Porphyritic diorite phases as the primary mineralised hosts. Five intrusive lithology codes appear in the top seven predictive features — matching the productive hosts described in the operator's assessment reports.
  2. Post-mineral monzonite dykes as negative grade contributors. The paragenetic distinction between mineralised pre-mineral diorite and barren late monzonite intrusions emerges from logging alone — the same separation documented in the published interpretation.
  3. Sulphide paragenesis in the documented order. Chalcopyrite as the strongest positive sulphide signal, followed by bornite — matching the operator's stated abundance for grade-relevant sulphides.
  4. Potassic and phyllic alteration as the productive assemblages. Both rank in the top fifteen predictive features.

The geological controls on grade are learnable from standard core logging data — independently of the operator's interpretation. For an active program, that means a calibrated read on grade as logging comes in.

Validation

Why it holds up.

Trained and validated across three independent BC porphyry systems spanning different terranes, operators, and logging conventions. Hole-based train/test splits prevent spatial leakage; k-fold cross-validation quantifies split variance; permutation testing confirms the signal is real.

Validation type AUC range NPV range
Within-deposit cross-year 0.71 – 0.91 94 – 98%
Cross-deposit transfer 0.78 – 0.89 93 – 99%
Combined-pool training 0.82 – 0.91 97 – 99%
AUC
Discrimination accuracy — how reliably the model ranks high-grade intervals above background. 0.5 is random; 1.0 is perfect.
NPV
Deprioritisation accuracy — how often a low-priority call is genuinely below the high-grade threshold.

The model is not memorising a deposit. It is learning the porphyry signal that transfers between systems. The same model. Three independent deposits.

Contact

Let's talk about your data.

Open for engagements.

The geology shapes the model. The model sharpens the geology. That's the product.

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